HOTCOG Homeland Security Division

We are at University High School for First Responders Day! We got to see some of our students from our CERT class last semester!

Good Morning, Central Texas! Below is the forecast from the National Weather Service for today thru Thursday. As always, we will post updates if and when we get them. Don't forget, you can sign up for weather alerts at www.hotready.com!

Bottom Line
There will be a renewed threat for severe weather Wednesday afternoon through Thursday. Large hail and damaging winds are the main threats, but isolated tornadoes are also possible.

Overview
•Wednesday and Wednesday night
o Some elevated storms are possible across western North Texas
Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning, but severe weather is
not expected with this early activity.
o Additional thunderstorms are expected to develop in the early
afternoon across the western parts of the forecast area near
and ahead of a dryline.
o Large hail and damaging winds will be the main threat with this
activity, but isolated tornadoes are also possible.
o This activity will likely transition into a line of storms along an
approaching cold front late Wednesday night. Strong winds will
be the main threat, with heavy rainfall also possible.
•Thursday
o The line of storms will move across North Texas Thursday
morning.
o Damaging winds will remain the main hazard.
o Additional redevelopment of strong to severe storms will be
possible near a cold front Thursday afternoon in Central and
East Texas.
o Heavy rainfall may result in isolated instances of flooding.

What We Are Certain Of:
•Thunderstorms that develop along the dryline Wednesday afternoon will likely be severe with at least a large hail and damaging wind threat.
•Additional storms with widespread rainfall are expected along another cold front Wednesday night into Thursday.
•Some storms across North Texas, especially east of I-35, are likely to be severe Thursday with large hail and damaging winds.

What We Are Less Certain Of:
•How far south and east the storms will move Wednesday afternoon. We’re more confident of storms developing across the northwestern parts of the forecast area, but not sure how far south and east they will travel before weakening.
•How far south and east into Central Texas the storms will progress Thursday, and how widespread they will be.
•The degree to which any storms will be severe across Central Texas Thursday afternoon.

Good Morning, Central Texas! Below is the forecast from the National Weather Service for Monday thru Thursday. As always, we will post updates if and when we get them! Don’t forget, you can sign up for weather alerts at www.hotready.com!

Bottom Line
There will be a few opportunities for severe weather today through Thursday.

Overview

Today
*Some showers and thunderstorms may redevelop near the I-35 corridor this morning, but severe weather is not expected.
*There will be a very low chance a storm or two will develop near a dryline across our western counties this afternoon.
*The atmosphere across North Texas will be very unstable. If a storm is able to develop, large hail and damaging winds would be the main threats.

Tonight
*Storms will develop along a cold front in Oklahoma tonight.
*This activity will move south into North Texas late tonight into early Tuesday morning.
*The complex of storms should be on a weakening trend, but a damaging wind threat may materialize north of I-20 if storms remain organized as they cross the Red River.

Wednesday/Thursday
*Some storms are possible across mainly North Texas during the day Wednesday, but severe weather is not expected with this early activity.
*Additional storms are expected to develop along a dryline west of the area on Wednesday afternoon.
*This activity will likely transition into a line of storms along an approaching cold front Wednesday night.
*The line of storms will move across the area into Thursday morning.
*Damaging winds will be the main hazard.
*Additional redevelopment of strong to severe storms will be possible near the cold front Thursday afternoon in Central and East Texas.
*Heavy rainfall may result in isolated instances of flooding.

What We Are Certain Of:
*If thunderstorms develop along the dryline this afternoon, they will be severe with a large hail and damaging wind threat.
*Storms will develop along a cold front in Oklahoma tonight. As they move into North Texas, damaging winds will be the main threat if they remain strong to severe.
*Additional storms are expected along another cold front Thursday.

What We Are Less Certain Of:
*If thunderstorms develop along the dryline this afternoon.
*How strong the storms will be tonight. They will weaken as they approach North Texas.
*How quickly the cold front will move through the area Wednesday night into Thursday.
*If storms will redevelop Thursday along the cold front.