Transcendent Trader
02/22/2025
Always look under the hood. I watch vix to reach down to past swing lows, (areas I watch). Watch the Magnificent 7 failing to reach all time highs when the Nasdaq and S&P hit all time highs. Tricks the publin into thinking the stock market is firing on all cylinders...when undet the hood the engine is about to blow!
Institutional money know how to profit from Put Option protection, retail traders do not. Happy to share how you can profit from a stock market crash in your own portfolio/your own brokerage.
Boogyman Trading
Risk verses Reward is key!
Bulls make money, (when on the correct side of the trend).
Bears make money, (when on the correct side of the trend).
Hogs get slaughtered. (Greed).
I aim to be The Boogyman.
Enter into a trend before the masses know the trend has started, add to winning trades, cut losing trades off, then do not overstay a trade when the masses are all in. The Boogyman...one can not see him under the bed, nor the closet. However he was there and gone before anyone can find him. π€ππ¦π°
Walmartβs reduced guidance is a wake-up call that the savings-depleted, overly leveraged U.S. consumer, struggling to afford ever-rising prices, isnβt as strong as widely believed. The myth of the strong U.S. economy will soon be exposed, and the reality of stagflation laid bare.
01/13/2025
Zucks memories, at it again.
How did these trades play out in time?
Stock market bottomed on February 2009 after peaking below its 2003 lows.
2015 highs would have led to another crash, however Federal Reserve applied, (Quantitative Easing)/printing money and with that printed money buying bonds from the Banking system, which:
1) Created artificially low interest rates from 2015 until 2023.
2) The banking system utilized,(Fractional Reserve Banking), and loaned out $10 of every $1 it held on its balance sheet/leveraged up the money flowing into the masses roughly 10x of the printed money the Federal Reserve printed/created out of thin air.
This artificial money kept the stock market and real estate from falling and gave what has now been 10 years of increased prices.
The massses do not analyze the financial markets nor study economic #'s so to the masses, the current prices feel, (normal). The masses do not realize the rabbit the Federal Reserve and global central banks pulled out of its hat.
The central banks can not pull this stunt again because now the π is feeling the pinch of inflation.
Back to this post from 2015. Due to the central banks trickery the stock market did not crash at 14,000ish and are at nose bleed levels if 45,000ish after Corona stimulas. Crude oil did reverse at the charts level of 2009 $33 after peaking below these levels.
I call this pattern the whack o mole and inverse whack o mole pattern.
After 2015 did not lead to a stock market crash and the Federal Reserve kept coming out with Quantitative Easing #1, #2, #3, #4, my capped risk S&P Put Options expired worthless and I have timed other ebbs and flows such as buying 2015 Brexit lows. Shorting S&P in late summer 2017 into Trump/Hillary election, then trading all night after Trump won over Killary in 2017 leading to a 7% crash/Chicago Mercantile Exchange circuit breaker being hit and S&P futures rallied higher all through the night. I nailed Corona April 2020 lows. I called the January 2022 highs and shorted the S&P down to the, (Dow officially in bear market territory),/October 2022 lows.
All time stamped on my social media platforms.
I nailed a buy Sept 11th 2024 for a 9% gain on the S&P, (450% gain using options). Finally closing that trade out/profits of the table and posted on my social media on January 2nd that on December 24th I closed out my long trade/profits from the 9% gain sknce September 11th entry and I opened a short S&P trade using 6 month until expiration SPY Puts. SPY being the exchange traded fund for the S&P. I have added to the the trade end of last week on January 10th as the S&P put in another weekly red/down week.
If this recent weakness leads to more stock market waves lower I will be trading in and out of the waves lower while keeping my core SPY Put Options on/open to catch a largef move lower.
Since 2015 I have only been extremely bearish/(strong in my belief of stock market weakness), in January 2022 which led to 20% crash in the Dow Jones in 2022.
Markets use the same psychology as sports. Fake right, fake left, go right.
In 2022, stock market faked down, then broke through all time highs faking higher,
Now in my perspective, they will go lower. Markets showed us the direction it wants to go. Then faked higher, now markers will go the direction the markets showed us originally it wants to go.
My clients accounts are positioned accurately, my capped risk allocation to profit from a stock market crash are placed. Also day trading the mini intraday moves that each day presents, whether up or down.
Open mindset that will profit either way, emotions removed. Dow can be 100,000, cool. Dow can crash to 10,000, cool. Bitcoin can be 1 million, cool. Bitcoin can crash to 10,000, cool. Average house value can be $500,000, cool. Average house value can be $100,000...or $1 million, cool. Economy can flourish, cool. The US can lose its grid and we camp out for a couple months, cool.
As the saying goes, (Hope for the best, prepare for the worst). Or my Boyscout days, (Be Pepared).
In life there are Victims or Victors. (One of my favorite reads). Wrote in 2014 by Ken Harrison. Be a Victor. π€ππ¦πͺπΌ
ππ»ππ»ππΌ
01/02/2025
Today January 2nd 2025, I exited/closed this trade at S&P 5900. 400 points, or 7.2% gain on the trade that I posted/opened/entered long on Sept 11th, 2024. Utilizing SPY Call Options participants booked approximately 450% on this trade.
ROI, (Return On Investnent), is 450% and our risk was capped to the cost of the SPY Call Options.
Risk 1x, profited 4 5x.
In trading there is an expression, (can not eat like a bird, and crap like an elephant).
Most market participants do not cap their risk, therefore their risk is much more than their reward...a mathmatical error for extracting profits from the financial markets.
We entered at a high probability area to catch a wave and once the wave showed us it was over we exited with our profits.
Another important methodology in trading/investing is aiming for the, (meat in the middle). S&P went up to 6000ish. We exited at 5900. If the, (wave), kept printing green weeks, we would have kept surfing the wave higher. We let the wave fizzle out and print two red/lower weekly closes to prove to us that there is a high probability that the wave/trade has ended. We joined the wave bottom once the wave started going higher on my post Sept 11th at 5500. We then surfed the wave to 6000, then let the wave prove to us that the surf/wave ran out of strength. Next we took profits off the table at 5900, or 400 S&P points, or 7.2%. Utiliizing SPY Call Options we 1) Capped our risk to tje price we paid, (1X), and closing out at 450%, (4.5x).
Combining 1), Patience for wave. 2) Capping our risk). 3), Letting the trade/wave run until it proved to us with two red/weak weeks we profited the, (meat in the middle).
Now we sit on our hands and wait for the next high probability trade.
This style of trading 1) Removes the emotions out of trading. 2), Utilizes Options to cap our risk yet at the same time use leverage to increase our gains/reward.
Where else in the π can an investor make 450% returns in 3 1/2 months with a defined risk? π
If an investor/trader used 5% of their portfolio, the investor would have just booked 20.5% on their portfolio in 3 1/2 months and never risked more than 5% of their portfolio.
This is how professionals/institutional money/wise hedge funds manage their portfolios.
Now clear our minds of the long/buy trade and analyze the markets with a neutral mindset. We can always surf another wave higher once the markets present a high probability entry. We can also surf a wave lower if the markets present us with a high probability wave to surf lower, with Put Options.
Combining seasonslity, herd mentaility and a couple other analyzation tools I use I see an opportunity to profit from a stock market move lower.
Again with capped risk, if the trade does not work, we only lose the allocation we use to purchase the Put Options. In the below trade I am utilizing about 2.5% of clients portfolios to the below trade to profit from a stock market move lower/crash.
The beauty of trading with defined risk, we always eat more than a bird and do not crap like an elephant. Professional Trading/Investing! Make more on your winners, keep our losers small. π€ππ¦
The picture attached I post January 19th 2022 on all of my social media as Stock Markets topped and by fall of 2022 Dow crashed to a 20%+ Bear Market. (Time stamped forever in history)
Here is my time stamp for 2025 posting today January 1st 2025.
50%+ Stock Market crash, (S&P Put options), are showing signs of demand. Similar to August 2001 Airline Stock Put Options and Defense contractor Call Options previous to the 9/11 Twin Tower crashes.
Smart money, (Institutional π°), knows what is going to occur before the event occurs and places their bets leaving digital footprints for people like myself that have studied charts back to 1896 with 25,000+ hours of analyzation. (Equivelent to two PHD's).
Hunt or be hunted. π€ππ¦
My clients accounts are loaded with S&P Put Options to potentially profit 10,000% if stock markets crash to March 2020 Covid lows.
My clients accounts are 30% in cash making 4.5% in FDIC insured accounts. Their 70% allocations are diversified amongst precious metals, basic materials, energy and broad based stock market, (Dow/S&P)
As most have heard me say:
Bulls make π°...if on the correct side of a trend.
Bears make π°...if on the correct side of a trend v
Hogs, (greed), get slaughtered.
I am the Boogyman. Can not find me under the bed, nor in the closet. Yet I was there and made π° when no one was paying attention. π€ππ¦
The masses as a whole are far too complacent in my perspective. Stock market, Crypto, even dependence on what I call the, (black evil boxes)/cell phones and the power grid.
My Boyscout days and hunting days stuck with me all these years. Boyscouts Motto, (Be Prepared).
*Elon's Mini Me's thoughts from Elon on America*
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1873917078870384828?t=VXcaHzMDXk1_nR9qxbm4AQ&s=19
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