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I've reported and published stories on contemporary trends in real estate and the housing market for a number of years, and I often find it useful to examine mortgage rates and important behavioral shifts homebuyers make.

Real estate technology company Zillow also pays careful attention to developments in homebuying and selling - and the company has now spotted an intriguing new one.

Before I get to that, though, let's check in on current mortgage rates.

Zillow predicts key real estate, housing market change The real estate technology company makes a key statement on one important new homebuying trend.

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Prospective homebuyers may soon have the opportunity to experience a bit of relief.

Real estate technology company Zillow has a new January 2026 Market Report finding that the typical monthly mortgage payment is now 8.4% lower than it was a year ago.

Zillow predicts new 2026 change in US housing market, real estate The real estate technology company sees a major trend that home buyers and sellers will be eager to understand.

But in the following few years, the American Dream came crashing down as mortgage rates and home prices rose, and inflation and wage stagnation set in. That meant more homeowners in the U.S. had sub-3% mortgage rates compared with today's 6%-range rates, creating a lock-in effect in which current homeowners refused to let go of their low mortgage rates and sell their homes only to turn around and face a much higher mortgage rate.

Down Arrow Button Icon “The dreaded mortgage rate ‘lock-in’ effect is fading,” said real estate investor and Reventure CEO Nick Gerli.

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As the housing market enters 2026, leading economists point to a range of forces likely to shape the year ahead for buyers, sellers, investors and the real estate industry. While notable headwinds persist, they agree on one thing: The housing market is showing signs of a "rebalance and a rebound" in 2026.

2026 Real Estate Outlook: What Leading Housing Economists Are Watching Housing economists weigh in on the forces most likely to shape housing business in 2026—from mortgage rates and inventory to demographic and regional shifts.