Pilot Point Fire Department

Please help us congratulate FF’s Travis Jeter and Timothy Aja on completing their probationary year.

Enhanced Risk Expanded This Morning.

All of North Texas in the upgraded significant severe weather today. Main risk is Very large hail up to 4” in diameter. A couple of tornadoes possible and 70mph winds.

* Not everyone will see severe weather *

Main timeline 4pm to 9pm

Note: Storms NW by Wichita Falls with Severe Watch. Some may break off early and start moving Southeast later this morning. With newest data some storms may start moving into the metroplex toward 12pm. Stay weather aware. Multiple ways to get warnings.

Increasing Instability This Afternoon..

Latest guidance shows increasing instability after 5pm with convective available potential energy over 5,000 which is 5x the normal thunderstorm. A weakening capping inversion in Oklahoma has a better likely hood of breaking to turn storms severe very quickly. Large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes in Oklahoma, if the cap breaks.

For North Texas instability is very high, but a stronger CAP. After 5pm it does show a little weakness that may allow one or two cells to go above the boundary layer. If that occurs they would turn severe very quickly in this environment.

Main timeframe 5pm to Midnight for isolated activity. I’ll be watching.