EHS Integration and Engineering Solutions

Just wanted to give a last post peak update, from our original projection. Here is the latest attached plot, with an interesting update.

You will be able to notice a similar transition that both countries experienced, weeks apart. When we saw the correlation, it caught our attention. We were able to replicate this effect in our mathematical model/simulation.

What is occurring is that the initial upward slope occurs while the news of the virus has not yet started. Then, after about 25 days, the news cycle starts and everyone starts social distancing. We took our model and throttled it for social distancing. Modeling people shuttering themselves in (zero contacts) and then going out again (new contacts), and so forth. It looks like the repeatable perturbations are a result of social distancing.

(Note: These are plots of slope for the confirmed cases, adjusted for population size. We are using the data located in the Johns Hopkins CSSEGISandData/COVID-19 github repository.)

COVID191 Unite Against Covid-19 Covid-19 Pandemic Tracking

Attached is a list of EPA registered products claimed to be effective for use against SARS-CoV-2.

List N: Disinfectants for Use Against SARS-CoV-2 | US EPA List N includes products with an emerging viral pathogen claim and products with claims for human coronaviruses.