CIMSS

Can we get forecasts for fires? Ask the Weather Guys!

Does NOAA conduct fire weather forecasting? Wildfire outbreaks require the alignment of several factors, including temperature, humidity, winds and the lack of moisture in fuels such as trees, shrubs and grasses. These factors have strong direct or indirect ties to current weather, climate variability and climate change. The National Oceanic....

While the Atlantic is expected to have below normal activity this year the Eastern Pacific should be quite active with the strong El Nino aiding development and storm intensity there. This could manifest in an increased threat of impacts to the Southwest US. Storms that more directly impact California tend to occur during strong El Nino years. The Eastern Pacific has already racked up three tropical storms so far.

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Epac_hurr/index.shtml

The National Hurricane Center is now issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One. The area of low pressure is currently over Southern Texas but could move over water today and intensify. The primary threat from this storm will be very heavy rainfall along the Gulf Coast area and the possibility of tornadoes. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Are daily forecasts affected by climate change? Ask the Weather Guys!

Are daily weather forecasts affected by climate change? A friend of ours recently asked whether the accuracy of day-to-day forecasts of weather is affected by climate change. This is a very interesting question whose answer helps to further elucidate the difference between climate and weather.As it turns out, predictions of the coming weather are nearly....