Fortunerst Securities

A recent report from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warns that the U.S. economy remains vulnerable to renewed tariff pressures and persistent labor shortages. While short-term performance has exceeded expectations, the Fund cautions that rising trade barriers and restrictive immigration policies could weigh on future growth.
According to the report, limited access to skilled labor and higher input costs from tariffs may dampen business investment and consumer spending through 2026. The IMF projects U.S. growth to ease from 2.8% in 2025 to around 2.0% next year if current policies remain unchanged. Labor market tightness could also lead to wage inflation, further complicating the Federal Reserve’s path to stable price growth.
The IMF urged policymakers to focus on restoring trade certainty and improving labor force participation. Businesses are advised to diversify supply chains and adopt long-term workforce strategies to manage risks amid an evolving global landscape.
🔗 Source: MarketWatch – https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-economy-still-vulnerable-to-tariff-shocks-imf-says-and-labor-shortages-tied-to-immigration-crackdown-could-also-sting-8987be99

U.S. economy still vulnerable to tariff shocks, IMF says, and labor shortages tied to immigration crackdown could also sting The U.S. economy hasn’t suffered much so far from big increases in tariffs or a decline in the labor supply due to tighter immigration rules. But that might change.