Seb On Golf

This is definitely going to come back and bite me, isn’t it… 😅

Find out just how badly on from 9-12th April!

⬇️The full filter my caddy uses as I couldnt get all of this into the video, so here’s the proper breakdown & my own pick using it.

It’s held up almost perfectly for the last 20 winners with only a few exceptions.

First thing is Augusta form. You almost always need to have contended here before, usually at least a top 10. This place is just too unique to learn on the fly. The green complexes, the angles, the misses… experience matters more here than almost anywhere else.

Second is approach play, the most important part of all of this. You need to be an elite iron player historically, and you need to be arriving in strong iron form right now. Looking at both PGA Tour and DataGolf numbers, the benchmark is top 30 in SG: Approach on the PGA stats, and/or around +0.5 and above on DataGolf.

Third is current form. When I say “contention”, I mean players who have already shown something this season a win, a top 3, multiple top 10s.

Most Masters winners don’t just suddenly find it that week, they arrive already playing well. If you’re coming in off missed cuts, withdrawals, or just floating around outside the top 30, it’s usually not the profile.

This is where I had added my own thoughts to get the shortlist down and make my solo pick. Let’s be honest it’s an amazing shortlist and always an outside chance of someone else breaking the mould, historically it’s just unlikely!

And then the fourth piece is control and putting. You don’t need to be the best putter in the world to win Augusta, but you absolutely cannot be arriving cold on the greens. The general benchmark is at least neutral (0.0) or positive in strokes gained putting coming in. If someone’s been consistently losing strokes on the greens, that’s a big red flag because Augusta punishes that quickly.
The biggest thing I realised going through this is that it’s not just about ticking the boxes… it’s about how cleanly you tick the boxes compared to everyone else.
This is the things that separates likely winners from contenders . Who

Slow play brings out the worst in me….

Day 3 of trying to make a Par (playing alternate shot) with my 5 year old son Rupert. Best score so far was a triple bogey, today we take on our first Par3! Once again Roo is making us play off the back tees! How many days will it take us? Follow to join the journey to Roo out driving me….