Hashim Financial Planner

SEBI’s 2025 report on f&o Trading

Nearly 91% of retail participants suffered losses in FY25, with aggregate net losses ballooning to ₹1.06 lakh crore—up 41% year-on-year.

The average loss per trader exceeded ₹1.1 lakh, confirming that 9 out of 10 retail traders failed to make money.

Nifty 26000 CE

1 Feb @ 1.5 rs
1 Lot : 100rs

2nd Feb high 460
1 lot : 30000rs

apne pass
HEDGE ke liye 2 lot the ...
almost ZERO ho gaye the ..
BUDGET wale din aur agle din ...
30000rs
2 Lot = 60 hazar

1 lakh invested
in 26000CE
on 1st Feb
would have turned on 2nd Feb ...
3 Crore

200rs ka 60 hazar
hua mera ...

1 lk lagata ...
3cr ho sakte the ...

TRADING me jo aaya woh ENJOY karne ka ...
kya ho sakta tha...
ye nahi sochte

ayega bhi
jayega bhi

VENEZUELA TAKEOVER: 7 STOCKS IN FOCUS

RELIANCE INDUSTRIES
- Imports ~2M barrels/month from Venezuela, positioning it as prime beneficiary of sanctions relief and supply normalization.
- Cheaper heavy/sour crude enhances Jamnagar refinery margins amid global surplus.

ONGC / ONGC VIDESH
- OVL holds stakes in San Cristobal (40%) and Carabobo 1 (11%) projects, currently producing 12-15K bpd with $500M+ stuck dividends.
- US approvals post-takeover unlock operations, investments, output ramp to 45-50K bpd, and dividend recovery.

OIL INDIA
- Holds 3.5% stake in Carabobo 1 alongside OVL, IOC; regime change enables stalled project revival and cash flow release.

INDIAN OIL CORP
- 3.5% Carabobo 1 partner; benefits from Venezuelan crude access for Paradip refinery's heavy processing capability.

HPCL / BPCL
- Key Venezuelan crude importers (~60-100K bpd average); lower costs post-sanctions boost refining spreads in a low-oil environment.

GLOBAL REFINERS
- Nayara Energy (Rosneft-backed, major Venezuela buyer) gains from reliable discounted heavy crude flows to Vadinar.

Key Takeaway
Venezuela takeover unlocks cheap crude for Indian refiners (RIL, OMCs) while activating OVL/OIL/IOC upstream stakes—position for supply-driven margin expansion over 12-24 months.

U.S FED CUTS RATES BY 25 BPS V EST 25 BPS

SUMMARY OF FED CHAIR POWELL'S SPEECH (9/17/25):

1. Unemployment rate has risen along with downside risks to employment

2. Inflation has risen and remains "somewhat elevated"

3. Growth in economic activity has "moderated"

4. Job creation rate is "below the breakeven rate" to avoid rising unemployment

5. Near-term inflation expectations have moved up on tariffs

6. Effects of tariffs on economy "remain to be seen"

The Fed was clearly forced to cut rates due to a weak labor market.

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Contact on the given mobile number..