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WTI defends bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci retracement around $90.00

WTI crude oil prices struggle to extend the latest rebound at around $90.00 during Tuesday’s initial Asian session. The black gold began the week on a positive side while extending Friday’s recovery from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of December 2021 to the March 2022 upside, near $86.90.

KEY POINTS:

Bullish:

Tight supply supports spot despite rising growth risks
Supply simply can't keep up with demand
Oil to jump on easing restrictions in China
Pricey oil will persist if the EU succeeds in implanting crude oil ban
Uncertainty over Russian gas flows means large risk premium will remain
West will continue to shun purchases of Russian oil for the foreseeable future

Bearish:
Global oil demand is expected to slow in 2023
End to the cost spiral is surely coming, oil rally is too steep to sustain
High prices themselves are meant to be the cure for high prices
More OPEC+ supply, potential Iran nuclear deal and rebound in USD to pull prices down again
Oil markets look set to be oversupplied by next year
Energy crunch should wane as most factors are short-term issues
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*USD/JPY biggest daily fall in eight months.
*BOJ Summary of Opinions hint at economic risk, Japan Unemployment increased but Retail Sales eased.
*Pause in the US Treasury yields’ south-run, sluggish session favor corrective pullback.
*US policymakers try to ward off “technical recession” ahead of Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.

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Oil Up as Russia’s Gas Reduction to Europe May Lead to a Switch to Crude
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