Geopolitics In A Nutshell

Today, 24th August, Ukraine is celebrating 32nd Independence Day. On 24th August, 1991, Ukraine gained independence from USSR.
Coincidentally, it also marks the 6months of Putin's "Special Military Operation to de-nazify Ukraine". President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has vowed stay strong against the Russian invasion and take back the lands currently occupied by Russia.
Currently intense fighting is going on around Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, the largest nuclear power plant in Europe. In Donbas, Moscow is gaining ground slowly. But in the south things are different. Bolstered by HIMARS, Ukrainian army is launching counter offensives in Kherson region. Even they attacked Crimea.
In this present scenario, the hope for a truce is almost impossible as both the adversaries are determined to fulfil their targets.

In the game Geopolitics, a nation needs to think one or two step ahead of its adversaries to counter them diplomatically. We are aware that India is going to host the 18th G20 summit in 2023. According to the recent developments, India is going to host some meetings of G20 Summit in the Union Territory of Jammu & Kashmir. The J&K administration has already constituted a 5-member committee for coordination with Ministry of External Affairs.
This could be game changer for J&K. G20 Summit will attract all the major media houses of the World. Prominent reporters will be able to see the actual on-ground situation of J&K. This could bust the myths and allegations regarding Human Rights Violation in the UT, imposed by various Western and Gulf Media outlets.
It remains to be seen how Turkiye (A Member of G20) reacts. We haven't heard anything from Pakistan yet.
This will also be a massive challenge for Indian Security Forces in the Valley which they will accept gladly.
A successful organization of G20 meeting in the valley will send a powerful message to the adversaries and will prove the sheer dominance of India in the Geopolitics of South Asia.
What do you think about this development? We would like to know your opinion.

Under the shadow of Russia-Ukraine conflict, over 500 delegates from 40 countries gathered in Singapore for the Shangri-La Dialogue 2022, also known as 19th Asia Security Summit. It was created by Dr. John Chipman, Director General of summit organizer International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) in 2002. Japanese Prime minister Fumio Kishida delivered the keynote at the 3-day-summit, which continued from 10 to 12 June. Commanding-in-chief of Eastern Naval Command, Vice admiral Biswajit Dasgupta represented India.
The main concern emerged in the summit was - What is stopping another power from doing the same (Russia's so called "special military operations") ?
Ukrainian Prime Minister Volodymyr Zelensky addressed the summit virtually. He said, "It is on the battlefields in Ukraine that the future rules of this World are being decided."
The Russian-Ukraine war has increased the distrust among the geopolitical rivals and in the emerging world order, maintaining status quo will be herculean task for any world power. The speeches from US defence secretary Lloyd Austin and Chinese defence minister Wei Fenghe echoed this distrust. Both of them accused each other for bullying & violating the status quo, also portrayed themselves as benevolent of the two. Mr. Wei Fenghe vowed to unify Taiwan with mainland China BY ANY MEANS. However he also stated that China would do everything to avoid a war. Mr. Lloyd Austin expressed his concerns about China's aggressive policies in land borders, South China Sea and Taiwan. It was echoed in the speeches of US military allies too.
Climate Change was also a vital point raised by delegates. Mr. Inia Batikoto Seruiratu, Defence Minister of Fiji and Mrs. Mariya Ahmed Didi, Defence Minister of Maldives expressed powerful messages regarding their nation's existential threat due to climate change and how it could cause serious implications in geopolitical orders & security challenges. Representatives discussed about implementing "Green Defence Policy" as way forward.
Analysing the summit, experts can easily state that the World is more divided than ever, after the World War 2. Indo-Pacific region, specially South China Sea, Taiwan could be the next flash point. Almost 300,000 US troops are stationed in this region with a massive Naval fleet. The largest navy in terms of number of active personnel PLA Navy (China), has recently launched its third Aircraft Carrier, is trying hard to exert its dominance over this region. ASEAN Countries including Australia, Japan are concerned about China's expansionist maritime ambitions and constructions of artificial islands in the heavily disputed hydrocarbon-rich South China Sea.
There are clear indications that World will remain on the edge of a devastating war. World will remain divided for years to come. In this emerging World order India will be a vital player. It will be interesting to see how India will formulate its foreign policy and defence policies.
What do you think? We would like to know your opinion.