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Quantifying market valuation risk – PART 3 | RecessionAlert 19/03/2021

There is at least a risk of 35% US stocks correction to bring valuations back to fair value. Fear of inflation & $ debasement outweighs fear of overvaluation. See latest research at

Quantifying market valuation risk – PART 3 | RecessionAlert In PART-1 we looked at how we used the RecessionALERT Valuation Index (RAVI) to determine 10-year ahead forecasts on the SP500 Total Return Index with a better than 0.89 correlation, and how we managed to derive 5,3 and 2 year ahead SP500 forecasts with correlations of 0.8, 0.68 and 0.55 respectivel...

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