Trafalgar Group

Our Trafalgar Group SC GOP Primary Polling Results Recap

In the Governor’s race, we picked the top two and what order correctly.

We predicted that Pamela Evette would lead Alan Wilson by 1.7% and Evette actually beat Wilson by 2.6%.

We were only off by .9%

In the AG’s race, we picked the top two and what order correctly.

We predicted that Stephen Goldfinch would lead David Stumbo by 4.9% and Goldfinch actually beat Stumbo by 4.3%.

We were only off by .6%.

The only race we were outside our margin of error was the US Senate race. Considering that our other polls were so spot on, the only explanation we find is that 30% of the undecideds didn’t vote. Then the other 70% voted for Lindsey Graham. Sen. Graham proved to be quite a closer.

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group SC GOP Primary 2026 Governor, US Senate, and Attorney General Final Poll (06/05-06/07)

1200 Respondents
2.9 MOE

SC GOP Gov:
22.4% Pamela Evette
20.7% Alan Wilson
17.5% Rom Reddy
15.9% Ralph Norman
13.9% Nancy Mace
0.6% Josh Kimbrell
0.5% Jacqueline Dubose
8.3% Und

SC GOP Senate:
49.2% Lindsey Graham
29.4% Mark Lynch
3.9% Thomas Dismukes
2.8% Pat Herrmann
2.7% Darius Mitchell
1.0% Calvin Cowen
11.0% Und

SC GOP AG:
28.5% Stephen Goldfinch
23.6% David Stumbo
15.2% David M. Pascoe
32.7% Und

See full report: https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/sc-gop-primary-0608/

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group SC GOP 2026 Governor Primary Tracking Poll (06/02-06/04)

982 Respondents
2.9 MOE

SC GOP Gov:
23.5% Pamela Evette
18.5% Alan Wilson
17.9% Rom Reddy
14.6% Ralph Norman
12.7% Nancy Mace
0.9% Jacqueline Dubose
0.8% Josh Kimbrell
11.1% Und

BREAKING: SC GOP 2026 Governor Primary Tracking Poll (05/29-05/31)

SC GOP Gov:
26.3% Pamela Evette
17.2% Rom Reddy
16.9% Alan Wilson
16.1% Ralph Norman
14.8% Nancy Mace
2.4% Jacqueline Dubose
1.9% Josh Kimbrell
4.4% Und

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group 2026 SC Governor Primary Poll (05/02-05/05)

SC Gov:
25.2% Pamela Evette
23.1% Alan Wilson
19.6% Ralph Norman
15.2% Nancy Mace
10.1% Rom Reddy
4.2% Josh Kimbrell
2.7% Jacqueline Dubose

See full report: https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/sc-gop-gov-0507/