Contingency Planning Gibraltar

Contingency Planning Gibraltar

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19/11/2021

C19 Vs Gibraltar: Instalment 13

Some appear shocked to hear that Austria is ordering mandatory vaccination and yet another lockdown after discriminating and actively hunting those unvaccinated. The US Federal Court has blocked this thus far, called the Employer Vaccination Mandate.
How long before vaccination becomes compulsory as a condition of employment?
At present, most countries are coercing its unvaccinated citizens, with restrictions and limitations, but mandating will inevitably put any liability of negative effects on the Governments that do so.
How this goes against your human rights, is surely being challenged in courts around the world, but may not get much airtime.

Vaccinating Children
It is widely agreed that the youth is least affected by the virus and will inevitably need to live with it. It is also evident that even those vaccinated are transmitters. The decision to vaccinate the young ‘at this time’ will remain with each parent and will surely create tension between separated parents with opposing opinions.
Is vaccinating children a last ditch attempt?

We want to avoid Lockdown and we don’t want to impose restrictions has been published.
The new Director of Public Health Dr. Carter stated on GBC (9th Sept ’21) that the hike in infections was foreseeable as early as post National Day.
Behind the scenes, I have been warning of this since March ’21 and was lobbying to see some sort of guidance after summer. In fact, I have advocated that the next test was this winter in which we find ourselves.

Most of us lived the beach lifestyle, in open air, sun and sea and relaxed the mask wearing etc. We saw numbers under control, but this was not going to last very long once our social behaviour changed (school, work, holiday return, etc).
What infuriates me is that if it was so foreseeable why has Guidance only been published yesterday (Nov 18th) when numbers surpassed 600 cases?

In the same breath, the CM mentions lockdown and a lack of appetite to impose the restrictions of the past.
I fail to see why we were once again not given a travel advisory at midterm, and why the Guidance campaign is about 6 weeks late.

Whilst I doubt another lockdown (on political grounds), it may take a little twisting of the arm, but our local Government will likely follow what other counties do and the advice given by the specialists, including the WHO. Like before, restrictions in Spain will do Gibraltar a favour as we lived through the height of restrictions in relative freedom, although our economy suffered as a result.
I have to ask, what happens to those businesses and jobs affected by any future restrictions?

Will we see the return of BEAT, which we are paying for through increases in SI, electricity and other fees?

29/01/2021

A year today since I first started raising awareness of Covid.

Gibraltar Vs Covid: Instalment 12

It is a year today when I felt I had to go public about what I was convinced was going to become a nightmare. I didn't with Ebola or with Swine Flu for example... but this new thing was different… I was not convinced how China was acting.

I had been keeping an eye on the developments in China and was not convinced of their 'everything is under control' narrative. So I took out some contingency plans I had drafted up a few years ago and decided to try and raise awareness and give those with six figure salaries something to think about. This included advocated the use of face coverings as one barrier against transmission when 'the science' was telling us not to.

I told those that needed to be told, I emailed and had meetings, but the burden of guilt for all those losing their jobs, businesses, livelihoods and loved ones, lies with me.... for the feeling of not being able to put the message across to those who could, to have prepared better and done more.

A year on, and we clearly need to learn to live with this. On the 12th of March 2020 I included the term ‘el Libro de Familia’ in Instalment 4 of Covd-19 Vs Gibraltar (Looking into the Economic Abyss). This is a book with the names of your family members.

I feel that a similar book could have your ‘household bubble’. This means you can book a restaurant table, sit together in the cinema, go bowling etc, but without groups mixing as we saw in December. The price of which we are paying for now.

Tourism will not return to Gibraltar like we have become complacent to for months to come at best, but I believe cruises will not return in any significant numbers till 2022. Sadly (and I wish I was wrong), the roll out of the vaccine will not be the panacea solution we are all hoping for and C19 will not disappear overnight (although I hope new variants weaken and it wither away). I can only hope. But as a realist, we will only likely see some domestic tourism (i.e. from Spain and some from the UK), if and when they deescalate their control measures. Once again, Gibraltar is subject to externalities beyond our control, our only saviour, the size of our bubble and that we will likely reach the lost term of ‘heard immunity’ through inoculation and natural resistance before the rest of the world. All in hoping the vaccines give us sufficient protection that lasts.

Having said all that, I will continue to shield my aging family.

Interview: 3rd March 2020
https://www.facebook.com/103755181000568/videos/194237818566691

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